COLD WAR UNVEILED

by Lisa Reynolds Wolfe on October 27, 2014

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Cold War Studies is proud to announce the publication of our new e-book titled COLD WAR UNVEILED: ARMS RACE TO ZDANOV DOCTRINE. The book is now for sale on Amazon and I hope you’ll check it out.

COLD WAR UNVEILED: ARMS RACE to ZDANOV DOCTRINE is meant to provide a quick, easy to read, introduction to the complex Cold War concepts dominating the last half of the 20th century.

From the end of World War II in 1945 until the ultimate collapse of the Soviet Union in 1990, the world was polarized by a global rivalry between two wartime allies, the Soviet Union and the United States. The Cold War’s impact was global in scope and created divisions based on free world orientation, socialist orientation, or nonalignment. The legacy of this conflict continues to shape the geopolitics at work in our world today.

The legacy of the Cold War is still with us as we confront the problems of today’s world:

  • the complex relationship between Russia and the United States;
  • the residue from wars in Afghanistan and Iraq;
  • the continuing American embargo and travel restrictions in place regarding Cuba;
  • the nuclear stalemate with Iran;
  • the drain of military expenditures on strained economies;
  • the sway of the defense establishment on public policy decision-making.

Whether you want to shine at a cocktail party or pass an exam, Cold War Unveiled is the illustrated primer you need to achieve your goal! Why not go over to Amazon and take a look right now?

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SYRIA TIMELINE: 1971-1985

by Lisa Reynolds Wolfe on September 17, 2014

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1970: Hafiz al-Asad seizes power. He represents the rise of a new rural elite who claim power at the expense of the established urban politicians and merchants. His regime is authoritarian, based on the military and the Ba’ ath Party. Holding absolute power, al-Asad becomes the object of a personality cult. He adopts socialist economic policies and stands for egalitarian reform. Syria becomes a net exporter of oil.

Early 1971: Al-Asad is elected to a 7 year term as president. He retains the presidency until his death in 2000.  Al-Asad’s government pursues the socialist policies enshrined in Ba’athist doctrine, and is more tolerant of private enterprise than the military regimes of the 1960s.

 Al-Asad takes the office of secretary general of the Ba’ ath, combining the roles of head of state and head of the party.

Al-Asad attempts to ensure loyalty to his regime by appointing relatives and trusted associates to key positions in the ruling hierarchy. Alawite officers are promoted to the most prominent commands in the military and security agencies, giving them a stake in the preservation of the regime.

Members of al-Asad’s family are placed in charge of an array of special forces outside the regular military structure. An elite praetorian guard (the Defense Companies) is commanded by the president’s younger brother Rif’at. 

The dominance of Alawites in the regime makes it suspect in the eyes of the Sunni majority.

As previously mentioned, the Sunni Muslims who gain appointments in the new power structure are from modest social backgounds rather than from the old urban nobility. So, in addition to its Alawite coloring, the regime has a decidedly rural composition and represents the rise of the countryside at the expense of the former elite class of urban-based notable families.

The goals of the new elite of al-Asad’s state are focused on the needs of their country in its Middle Eastern context and on keeping themselves in power.

1970s: Syria and Iraq engage in a heated rivalry for regional dominance.

Syria experiences an economic boom. The principle of public-sector domination of the economy is retained, but policies are not as stringent as before. Financial aid from Arab oil-producing countries, and increased revenues from Syria’s own modest petroleum industry enable the government to embark on major development projects and to expand the range of state services. 

Later, al-Asad’s policies alienate the oil-rich states and the country’s economy suffers. The government is forced to introduce austerity measures. There are also internal problems:

  • there is an inadequate supply of trained managers and technicians
  • top managerial posts are often awarded on the basis of loyalty to the Ba’ ath Party rather than on merit
  • corruption.

Syria’s economy shifts from primarily agrarian based — the country’s leading cash export was cotton — to one dominated by the service, industrial, and commercial sectors. Oil replaces cotton as the main source of foreign exchange.

Al-Asad prioritizes improving the living conditions of the peasantry, but the regime’s efforts to manage agricultural production aren’t particularly successful. Cotton production increases substantially in the 1970s. The cultivation of food crops is sluggish and doesn’t keep pace with consumer needs. Syria is forced to import constantly increasing supplies of food.

The long-standing rivalry between Syria and Iraq intensifies when both states come under the rule of different factions of the Ba’ath Party.

Late 1970s: Syria’s population growth rate (3.7% per year) is among the world’s highest, and its illiteracy rate remains at 50% despite attempts to improve. The classroom provides a forum for indoctrinating students into the Ba’athist ideology. The system is designed to instill obedience to authority and devotion to the principles of the party, especially at the university level.

The al-Asad regime pushes ahead with social reforms. It makes a public commitment to female equality, legislating equal rights and privileges for women. However, conservative social attitudes continued to limit women’s participation in the workforce. At the same time, the regime also imposes political rigidity, cultural uniformity, and intellectual obedience. Contradictions aplenty.

 Al-Asad spends enormous amounts on military equipment to support his claim of regional superiority and to confront region enemies — especially Israel. Syria’s principle arms supplier is the Soviet Union. The Syrian armed forces grow from 50,000 in 1967 to 225,000 in 1973 to over 400,000 in the early 1980s. 

1973: The Syrian government introduces a new constitution that provides for an elected assembly known as the People’s Council. Still, the constitution provides the president with such sweeping powers that the assembly is little more than a symbol of democratic government.

The most controversial aspect of the constitution is its omission of the usual clause requiring the president of the republic to be a Muslim. Consequently, the Sunni majority within Syria perceives that the regime is secular and sectarian (Alawite). They organize protest demonstrations in major cities.

Al-Asad backs down and arranges for the insertion of a clause calling for a Muslim president. He also arranges for a prominent member of the Shi’a ulama to issue a decree affirming that Alawites are Muslims. Obviously, sectarian tensions were continuing to play a role in Syrian political life.

Syria commits to achieving military parity with Israel. This will make Syria the most powerful state in the Arab world. Al-Asad’s goal is to dominate the states that fall naturally within Syria’s orbit — Lebanon and Jordan as well as the PLO.

October 1973: On Yom Kippur, the holiest day in the Jewish calendar, the Egyptians and Syrians launch a sudden attack on Israel. The attack drives the Israeli Army back. The Israelis counterattack, surround the Egyptian Army in the Sinai, and threaten to invade all of Egypt. Al-Asad’s overriding concern is to recover the Golan Heights, the territory that Syria lost to Israel in 1967. He wants this to be done on the battlefield, and finds a willing ally in President Sadat of Egypt. The effort ends in defeat for Syria, but the new Syrian army performs capably. NOTE: Egypt eventually abandon the campaign against Israel; Sadat signs an Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty in 1979.

1976: Syria intervenes in Lebanon on behalf of the Maronite Christians against the leftist Muslim-PLO alliance. Syrian forces become bogged down in a costly and indecisive military occupation.

Mid 1970s: Syrians are not happy with al-Asad’s intervention against the PLO in Lebanon and his support for Iran in its war with Iraq. His government is almost toppled. Other factors in play:

  • a conservative Muslim and Sunni protest against an Alawite regime that is overtly secular and reformist
  • an urban protest against a regime that caters to rural and minority groups at the expense of once dominant urban families
  • protest against a corrupt and oppressive regime that is creating a new elite of wealthy party government officials. 

Opposition is centered in the old commercial cities — Aleppo, Homs, and Hama. It is spearheaded by young militants associated with the Syrian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood.

Late 1970s: Anti regime forces intensify their activities, mainly through a campaign of urban guerilla warfare against the government. Activities include the formation of an Islamic Front whose aim is to overthrow the regime and establish an Islamic state in Syria. Security forces crack down, but violence spreads.

1979: The Iranian Revolution brings a militant Shi’a Islamic regime to power under Ayatollah Khomeini and increases the tensions between Syria and Iraq. 

Saddam Hussain, Iraq’s president, fears that Khomeini’s call for Islamic revolution may affect Iraq’s Shi’a majority.

Early 1980s: Syria is devoting over 20% of its gross national product (NP) to military expenditures. The arms purchases strain the country’s economy and consume funds that might otherwise be invested in domestic projects.

1980: Hussain sets out to destroy the new Iranian regime by launching an armed invasion. Most Arab states support Iraq, but not Syria. Instead, Al-Asad sides with Iran. He chooses to see Khomeini’s regime as a protest against the US-Israeli order.

Syria becomes increasingly isolated within the Arab world, but still acquires regional influence.

Mid-1980s: Syria is in a position to ensure that no Arab-Israeli peace settlement can be negotiated without her participation and that any peace proposals from other parties can be sabotaged by Syrian action.

1980: The Islamic Front destroys government installations in Damascus as the protest movement begins to take on the features of a full-scale rebellion.

1982: Anti regime forces seize control of parts of the city of Hama and call on all Syrians to join in a jihad against the government. Al-Asad responds to the rebellion with brutality. 

The Syrian military launches a deadly campaign against Hama and its civilian population. At least 10,000 inhabitants are killed before the military operation is halted after 2 weeks. The events serve as a warning to other potential dissidents.

1983-1984: As al-Asad recuperates from a heart attack, his brother, commander of the elite Defense Companies, makes a bid for power. Asad manages to prevent violence and reassert his authority. His brother is edged out of power and eventually out of Syria. 

It becomes clear that al-Assad is unpopular and that his authority rests on the loyalty of the armed forces. The regime becomes more and more repressive. A personality cult develops around the president.

MAKE SURE TO READ PART I OF OUR SYRIA TIMELINE. 

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SYRIA TIMELINE: 1915-1970

September 10, 2014

Syria is in the news. But how much do you really know about that country and its Twentieth Century history? Here’s the first part of a Syria Timeline to help you out. 1915-1918: Over 600,000 inhabitants of greater Syria lose their lives during World War I, roughly 18% of the prewar population. September 1918: An […]

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COLD WAR SPYING YEAR BY YEAR: 1959

September 3, 2014

January 2, 1959: Fidel Castro and his rebel forces, having overthrown Batista’s corrupt but US friendly regime, take control of Cuba. July 1959: Vice President Richard Nixon flies into Moscow and spends the night at Premier Khruschev’s dacha. The next day they engage in their impromptu “kitchen debate” at the US National Exhibition in Moscow. September 1959: A major Cold […]

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Cold War Havana: Havana’s Ruralization, Militarization, and the 10 Million Ton Sugar Crop

July 19, 2014

Cuba’s Population Mobilizes for Agricultural Work Cuba’s effort to harvest 10 million  tons of sugar required a full-fledged military campaign, necessitating  the mobilization of Cuba’s entire population for agricultural work. Since the harvest was considered vital to the island’s “civil defense,” factory workers from the city volunteered to go to the countryside for a period […]

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COLD WAR SOCCER: BRAZIL 2014

June 11, 2014

GROUP A: THROUGH A COLD WAR LENS World Cup Fever is here!! Since you can’t get away from it, I thought it might be fun to look at the Brazil World Cup Qualifiers through a Cold War lens. Who are the teams and what role did they play in the half century Cold War conflict? Let’s […]

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COLD WAR IRAN: THE IRANIAN REVOLUTION AND INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE

June 4, 2014

Iran and the US Split: Americans and Iranians Leave Isfahan and Other Iranian Cities As strikes, protests, and demonstrations became more frenzied, Isfahan began to change. Most Americans left the city by November 1978, and an estimated $2 billion in scheduled military servicing and production contracts left with them. The Western corporate presence and the […]

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COLD WAR TAIPEI: MIGRANTS AND COMMUTERS – A SPECIAL CASE

May 20, 2014

Migration to Cold War Taipei Despite the popularity of commuting to work in Cold War Taipei, there were also a large number of migrants. Many of these individuals were well educated young women who found ample opportunity for legitimate employment in companies associated with the manufacture of products for export, particularly textiles and electronics. These […]

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